Cross-country comparison over absolute dates⮸
Daily Dead (7-Day Average)⮸
Cross-country comparison with approximately aligned start days⮸
Daily Dead (7-Day Average)⮸
Per-country analysis with exponential and sigmoidal projections, and new cases analysis⮸
IMPORTANT: The projections are only accurate if the fit is good (it often isn't), and assuming nothing changes
going forward. The sigmoid is omitted if a reasonable fit can't be computed, but this still doesn't mean that
the fit is good if it is shown.
The dashed lines show best fit projections from a few previous days for comparison.
Start date 2020-03-07 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $1,960,897$ on 2020-06-08
Best fit exponential: \(2.19 \times 10^{5} \times 10^{0.011t}\) (doubling rate \(27.7\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{1,928,279.4}{1 + 10^{-0.031 (t - 52.2)}}\) (asimptote \(1,928,279.4\))
Start date 2020-03-11 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $110,990$ on 2020-06-08
Best fit exponential: \(1.34 \times 10^{4} \times 10^{0.011t}\) (doubling rate \(27.0\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{108,661.4}{1 + 10^{-0.037 (t - 47.6)}}\) (asimptote \(108,661.4\))
Start date 2020-03-07 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $1,331,385$ on 2020-06-08
Start date 2020-03-06 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $97,779$ on 2020-06-08
Best fit exponential: \(1.05 \times 10^{4} \times 10^{0.011t}\) (doubling rate \(27.1\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{97,822.4}{1 + 10^{-0.034 (t - 53.1)}}\) (asimptote \(97,822.4\))
Start date 2020-03-16 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $7,910$ on 2020-06-08
Best fit exponential: \(681 \times 10^{0.014t}\) (doubling rate \(22.3\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{7,879.3}{1 + 10^{-0.040 (t - 50.2)}}\) (asimptote \(7,879.3\))
Start date 2020-03-06 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $34,526$ on 2020-06-08
Start date 2020-03-19 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $120,102$ on 2020-06-08
Best fit exponential: \(2.7 \times 10^{3} \times 10^{0.021t}\) (doubling rate \(14.7\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{196,841.6}{1 + 10^{-0.030 (t - 75.9)}}\) (asimptote \(196,841.6\))
Start date 2020-03-28 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $14,053$ on 2020-06-08
Best fit exponential: \(348 \times 10^{0.022t}\) (doubling rate \(13.4\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{26,055.6}{1 + 10^{-0.031 (t - 70.8)}}\) (asimptote \(26,055.6\))
Start date 2020-03-19 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $18,416$ on 2020-06-08
Start date 2020-03-11 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $16,854$ on 2020-06-08
Best fit exponential: \(1.21 \times 10^{3} \times 10^{0.013t}\) (doubling rate \(23.4\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{20,864.8}{1 + 10^{-0.022 (t - 69.5)}}\) (asimptote \(20,864.8\))
Start date 2020-03-11 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $398$ on 2020-06-08
Best fit exponential: \(37.6 \times 10^{0.012t}\) (doubling rate \(25.3\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{390.8}{1 + 10^{-0.030 (t - 53.7)}}\) (asimptote \(390.8\))
Start date 2020-03-11 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $6,055$ on 2020-06-08
Start date 2020-03-14 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $20,126$ on 2020-06-08
Best fit exponential: \(1.43 \times 10^{3} \times 10^{0.014t}\) (doubling rate \(21.9\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{23,640.0}{1 + 10^{-0.026 (t - 62.7)}}\) (asimptote \(23,640.0\))
Start date 2020-03-19 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $539$ on 2020-06-08
Best fit exponential: \(94.9 \times 10^{0.010t}\) (doubling rate \(30.0\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{523.6}{1 + 10^{-0.034 (t - 38.0)}}\) (asimptote \(523.6\))
Start date 2020-03-14 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $7,429$ on 2020-06-08
Start date 2020-03-19 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $6,450$ on 2020-06-08
Best fit exponential: \(147 \times 10^{0.021t}\) (doubling rate \(14.6\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{9,641.9}{1 + 10^{-0.033 (t - 72.2)}}\) (asimptote \(9,641.9\))
Start date 2020-03-26 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $262$ on 2020-06-08
Best fit exponential: \(19.7 \times 10^{0.015t}\) (doubling rate \(19.5\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{378.6}{1 + 10^{-0.025 (t - 62.0)}}\) (asimptote \(378.6\))
Start date 2020-03-19 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $5,448$ on 2020-06-08
Start date 2020-03-22 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $7,502$ on 2020-06-08
Best fit exponential: \(52.7 \times 10^{0.028t}\) (doubling rate \(10.9\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{13,883.0}{1 + 10^{-0.038 (t - 77.4)}}\) (asimptote \(13,883.0\))
Start date 2020-04-04 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $267$ on 2020-06-08
Best fit exponential: \(0.398 \times 10^{0.043t}\) (doubling rate \(7.1\) days)
Start date 2020-03-22 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $5,912$ on 2020-06-08
Start date 2020-03-25 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $3,104$ on 2020-06-08
Best fit exponential: \(90.2 \times 10^{0.021t}\) (doubling rate \(14.4\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{4,103.9}{1 + 10^{-0.036 (t - 62.9)}}\) (asimptote \(4,103.9\))
Start date 2020-03-31 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $56$ on 2020-06-08
Best fit exponential: \(3.36 \times 10^{0.018t}\) (doubling rate \(16.7\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{95.8}{1 + 10^{-0.027 (t - 63.9)}}\) (asimptote \(95.8\))
Start date 2020-03-25 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $1,669$ on 2020-06-08
